Tuesday 24 November 2015

How to solve the NHS financial crisis at a stroke, (painless for nearly everyone).




The total cost of meeting successful personal injury claims made by patients treated by the NHS is rising fast, as is its proportion of the total budget. See the NHS Litigation Authority Annual Report
Payments in 2014/15 were £1.1bn and are predicted to rise by almost 30% next year. The projected current debt for damages for the NHS is £28bn, around one fifth of total NHS expenditure and over £300 per head of the UK population. Around one third of the cost ends up being paid to lawyers who are entitled to claim payment of high hourly fees as well as a percentage of the payment to the patient. For claims under £10,000, lawyers fees are typically three or four times the amount claimed.

The amount of compensation is worked out on the basis that care of a patient disabled by bad treatment is provided on a private basis, ignoring the existence of the NHS. Loss of earnings compensation is bases on current earnings, so that high earners are entitled to larger payouts. Payment for mental distress can be judged to be many times that paid out for physical injury, such as loss of a limb. The NHS cannot normally recover its costs in cases that it wins, unless the claim is judged to be particularly vexatious. Cases are judged on the so called ' balance of probabilities, (rather than beyond reasonable doubt as in criminal cases), and the natural sympathy towards a victim is a big factor which can affect judgements. Compensation sums are now often greater than in the U.S. However if the poor result of medical treatment is judged to be due to bad luck rather than someone's fault, then the payment is nothing. On top of this the legal process takes several very stressful years, and patients often gets nothing during life, so that it is only the heirs that benefit.

As well as the direct costs to the NHS, there are huge indirect costs. Hospitals will have their own risk management departments whose salaries are not met centrally.  Expensive time is spent by doctors on elaborate multi page consent forms which patients can rarely understand. Huge effort is expended checking patient identities multiple times, which is tiresome and distracts attention from more important issues.
GPs pay for their own indemnity insurance, and those who do a lot of weekend work are having to pay five figure sums for their insurance. The total GP cost is around £300million per year. This cost is indirectly borne by the NHS as these costs are taken into account when pay is adjusted.

But the major costs are in terms of tests and scans that are not done because the doctor thinks they are likely to benefit the patient, but just to reduce the likelihood of being sued. So as well as the huge costs, patients suffer unnecessary and possibly harmful tests, and have to worry about harms of treatment even when there is no realistic alternative. Just because of the very small possibility of litigation. On average a GP will be sued only twice in his or her whole career.

So the present system is an expensive disaster, that is good for no one except lawyers.
But why should patients who are treated at no direct cost to themselves, be entitled to make claims?

The standard argument is that the threat of being sued helps drive up quality of care. Unfortunately, all the research done in this area shows that there is no correlation between being sued and medical competence. 

The other claim is that the law of tort allows claims to be made against anyone who has harmed us. But when we go out horse riding or mountain biking we are used to making contracts in which we absolve other parties of responsibility for predictable adverse outcomes.

So why can we not make such a contract a condition of NHS treatment, and release so many billions that can be used for patient care, and at the same time improve care by ending the 'cover my ass' culture. We could also easily pay for a no fault compensation scheme as in New Zealand.
It would however be a major blow to the legal industry, and with hundreds of lawyers in parliament I don't think it has much chance.








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Saturday 21 November 2015

The story of an honest man

This man is now 70 years old. He was born into a family of peasant farmers in South India. He did well at school as well as helping on the farm, so he went to secondary school where he loved history.  His teacher told him that science was a better choice in terms of bettering his lot in life and that of his family, and with the help of a charitable foundation he was supported to go to university and study to be a doctor. There he met his wife to be, from a slightly more privileged background. After qualification, like most of his fellow students he emigrated. He was going to go to Australia but could not since he, like most of his village, had not had his birth registered, and had no birth certificate. The UK was not so fussy then, and there was a shortage of junior doctors in the 1970's so he found work as a junior hospital doctor in the Manchester area. In those days even in A&E, the working week was Monday to Friday, and then on top of that there was overtime. The on call rota would be usually every second or third evening and night on, and ditto weekends. This overtime was paid in so called UMT's or units of medical time. The assumption was that only a third or a quarter of hours on duty were actually worked so the pay was set at about a quarter of the standard hourly pay rate. Not surprisingly busy jobs such as A&E were shunned by anyone who could get anything less arduous. However, he had been brought up on a peasant farm, and working all the hours there were was not unusual. So he accepted the conditions, thinking that he was after all getting good experience. In the apprenticeship like system that existed in those days he learned some valuable lessons.

Eventually he and his wife got the chance to try General Practice.  Initially he was exploited as a salaried assistant, but it did not take long before the opportunity arose of taking over a practice in a central and somewhat deprived area of a northern industrial town.
They started of course with no appointment system and a very small staff, but they worked very hard and he augmented his income with work as a police surgeon. Gradually, they developed the practice and after the GP reforms of the 1980's they built a purpose designed surgery. His life was his work, and his work became his life. He gradually recruited a team of helpers to whom he was devoted and they became devoted to him. He continued to work a seven day week, and his wife brought up their 2 children mostly unaided.
The practice went well. He resented the cost of employing locums for his holidays so he seldom took any. His patients appreciated the way that the surgery was always available in a way that is almost inconceivable nowadays, and continuity of care was excellent. He loved working as a GP in the NHS because he made an adequate income doing what he was most interested in, with none of the commercial pressure, conflicts of interest, and outright corruption that he was all too aware was endemic in Indian medicine. He earned enough to help his family in India build houses and to support a school, thus giving back to the society that had helped him and to which he felt a debt of gratitude. He spent a large part of his spare time going to educational medical meetings, generally on proper clinical bedside doctoring rather than practice organisation.

He did have some problems of course. Being so accessible meant that he was not well protected against patients who wished to manipulate him, and some patients interpreted his wish to help them as weakness. He prescribed diazepam and similar drugs as GPs did in those days, and then when he refused to continue the prescriptions because of possible abuse and the danger of addiction, patients sometimes complained. When his police surgeon job was reorganised away from his town he started to replace that work by doing a lot of weekend shifts for what was then an out of hours GP cooperative. He often did 20 hours at a weekend, and he received the appropriate share of patient complaints. Asian doctors get many more complaints than English doctors. The reasons are not totally clear but there is no doubt that communication difficulties and racist attitudes in some patients play a significant role.

The first big problem however, started with the 2004 GP contract. It brought in Quality payments for GPs (QOF), which made computerised records essential, at least for those aspects like recording Blood Pressures and smoking status. Computers were provided free by the NHS but there was little in the way of training and no funding for the huge task of inputting handwritten data.  For a doctor in his late 50's this was a challenge. For several years he continued to use hand written records from which his staff extracted the information to feed the QOF beast.  This gradually became less workable after the lab stopped sending paper reports, and he then used a dual system with major illness, prescriptions, lab data on the computer, and consultation notes and hospital letters still filed on paper. Many doctors went through the same process of gradual transition, but he was one of the hindmost.

However, with the considerable help from his staff, they managed quite well. Patient surveys were good, which was a huge achievement in a poor area, prescription statistics were good, and the QOF points were at least up to average. He had yearly appraisals, during which hints would be dropped about rather the old fashioned record system and prescribing out of fashion drugs like antihistamines to kids with colds, but no serious problems emerged.

Then around 2008, Blair appointed Arai Darzi, a highly specialised London Surgeon, to sort out the problems of general practice!, which in London were largely about inadequate buildings without other services, and lack of GPs in deprived areas. As a result, all the local areas in the NHS were told they had to build a new multipurpose medical centre, and the career prospects of NHS administrators depended on the success of the scheme. Unfortunately, many towns had plenty of doctors and pretty good premises already often with other services like district nurses on site, so filling a new building with patients was a challenge. The obvious answer was to persuade existing practices to move to the new building.

As a result, an NHS administrator (a former car salesman) visited the practice. When the doctor learned that his patients would have to travel 2 miles without a good bus route or free parking, he refused to move. The manager told him that he would not take no for an answer, and that if he did not comply he would eventually get the practice closed down.

Things settled for a while as the 15 million pound surgery building took a long time to build, and then it didn't work as they had failed to build an adequate sewage system. Then matters took a turn for the worse when the NHS implemented the new Conservative Health Bill, which no one had either read or understood. Many NHS managers took redundancy, and were then re-employed in the new NHS administration. The manager who had made the threat to close our man down ended up moving sites and sharing an office with the "Performance Review Department".

So it happened that in May 2014, the doctor was notified that he was to be visited by a Doctor and assistant as part of a Performance review. The inspecting team came and inspected 4 sets of case notes and asked a few questions in an aggressive manner, and concluded by saying that they would be back for a further visit. He had by now got the wind up a bit, and asked if he could have representation at a future visit. It was agreed that a doctor from the local medical committee (which represents local doctors) would be present for the next visit, scheduled for early July.

Despite several requests and the passage of over 6 weeks, no report from the first visit was sent to the doctor until the day before the second visit, giving the doctor no time to respond. 
During the second inspection visit, done by the same doctor as the first visit, 3 more patient records were examined.  The LMC doctor was only able to be present for the first hour.

After the records were examined, the doctor was told that they had found severe deficiencies, which would be reported to the performance review panel meeting that was scheduled for within the next 10 days. At this stage no other evidence of performance had been examined (although a lot of statistics are collected routinely by the NHS ), no one else had been interviewed, and no consultations had been observed.

It was thought to be adequate that the opinion of one doctor, who only examined 7 patient records was sufficient to end the career of a man who everyone agrees is dedicated to his patients. Given that judgements of this sort are well known to be highly subjective, and prone to a host of biases, and that racist bias was an obvious possibility, this is astonishing.

After the inspecting doctor had left, the other member of the team spoke to the practice manager and suggested that it would be better for the doctor to hand in his license to practice in order to avoid publicity and shame. As he relied heavily on her advice he did as suggested, surrendering his licence to practise to the GMC, and resigning from the local performers list. Within 2 working days the authorities wrote letters to all the patients informing them that the practice was closing, and informing them of nearby practices that they could register with. On the front side of this list were 2 practices which were both located in the new building, while all the other practices were listed over the page. The obvious conclusion was that the inspection and its results were pre-planned by the manager who shared the office with the Performance review team.

In the following days and weeks the doctor discussed the situation with colleagues, who examined the report of the first visit and found it to be both ill informed and unfair. They were horrified at the way that the procedure contravened natural justice. Several weeks after the second visit no report of that visit was supplied. When it did come it was seen to be even less fit for purpose than the first. He and his colleagues complained to the performance review authorities who promised to look into it.

However, the review procedure turned out to be no more than a rubber stamp and a delaying tactic. They admitted that the delay in writing and sending the reports was a serious flaw, but insisted that the process and the 'decision' was valid.

So, can we trust British ' Justice' ?  Maybe, but Not in the health service at any rate.